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COMMON PART


Project Number23-28-00365

Project titleTransformation of taxation of labor, citizens' capital and value added in order to increase the welfare level

Project LeadPugachev Andrey

AffiliationP.G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University,

Implementation period 2023 - 2024 

Research area 08 - HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES, 08-155 - Prognosis of social and economic development, governmental regulation of economy and regulation of socio-economic processes

Keywordstaxes, taxation, potential, inequality, social inequality, monetary inequality, welfare, poverty


 

PROJECT CONTENT


Annotation
On March 16, 2022, at a meeting on socio-economic support for the subjects of the Russian Federation, the President noted: "even in the current difficult situation, we need to achieve a reduction in poverty and inequality." In modern crisis conditions, attention to the level of well-being of citizens also comes to the fore, especially since it has not been possible to increase it in recent years. Income taxation, as one of the instruments for reducing income inequality, did not help to smooth out inequality and did not stimulate the growth of well-being. Currently, the problem of inequality is also exacerbated by the poverty of a large number of citizens. According to various estimates, 12-20% of the population are poor. At the same time, since 2021, the approach to determining the poverty line has been changed: the subsistence minimum is determined not on the basis of the consumer basket, but depends on the median value of the average per capita monetary income of the population. It is obvious that the existing approaches to the definition of poverty did not correspond to the realities of life. The composition of the consumer basket has not been revised since 2012. The new approach also raises certain questions and concerns. Determining the structure of consumption by decile groups today also does not correspond to reality, since it does not take into account the quality of the products consumed: in the diet of the least well-off citizens, products are replaced with low-quality, with animal fat substitutes, GMOs. The poverty of working citizens and young people is a new challenge for Russian society and the state. The current taxation system does not help to smooth out inequality, but, perhaps, on the contrary, strengthens it due to the existing implicit elements of the regression of rates. The potential of taxation can be revealed by increasing the progression of personal income tax, introducing a tax-free minimum and improving the system of personal income tax deductions with an emphasis on strengthening social deductions and, above all, deduction for children. The introduction of a non-taxable minimum at the same time requires a detailed analysis, since in the current system of personal income tax distribution there is a risk of a decrease in personal income tax receipts for the budgets of many regions, therefore it is also necessary to develop ways to improve the mechanism of personal income tax distribution. In terms of indirect taxation of consumption, the expediency of establishing reduced VAT and excise rates for certain categories of goods requires research - to what extent this contributes to reducing inequality. The scientific novelty of the research consists in the development of theoretical and methodological approaches to determining the potential of tax impact on transforming inequality and improving the welfare of citizens in Russia. The object of the study is the potential of taxation to smooth out the transforming inequality and improve the welfare of citizens. The subject of the study is the financial and economic relations that arise between the state and society regarding the impact of tax instruments on inequality and the well–being of citizens. The study will answer the following questions. Do the current tax instruments in Russia smooth out inequality? Do they contribute to improving well-being? From the perspective of S. Kuznets' modified curve, does taxation in Russia influence the dependence of inequality on economic development and well-being? Which tax instruments are most suitable for smoothing the transforming inequality? Which of the existing tax instruments are the most effective? What tools should be implemented and improved? Does the introduction of income tax progression in 2021 contribute to smoothing social income inequality? Is income taxation or indirect taxation of consumption more effective in terms of smoothing social inequality?

Expected results
It is planned that, based on the study of the potential of tax instruments for smoothing social inequality, concrete proposals will be formed to enhance the tax impact of the state on overcoming excessive stratification of citizens by income and improving well-being. As part of the testing of the modified S. Kuznets curve, the most effective factors of tax influence on the ratio of inequality and economic development were determined, taking into account the characteristics of the current economic cycle. The tendencies of the modern transformation of inequality in Russia are determined. The effects of income and indirect taxation, as well as tax deductions, on social inequality are estimated. The concrete implementation of the project finds in the framework of: - formation of a theoretical and methodological basis for the potential of tax impact on inequality and welfare improvement; - systematization of the factors that determine the impact of the state on inequality and the improvement of well-being; - developed methods for assessing the potential of tax impact on inequality and welfare improvement; - the proposed concept of realizing the potential of tax instruments for smoothing inequality and improving well-being. These expected results are planned to be presented in the form of a consolidated analytical report with proposals for developing the potential of tax impact on inequality and sent to the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, the Federal Tax Service of the Russian Federation, the Government of the Yaroslavl Region. The results of the research will be used in the preparation of the dissertations of Pugachev A.A., Kirsanov I.A., the final qualifying work of Ryabinina S.E. The results of the study will be used in teaching the disciplines "Tax potential of the region: features of assessment", "State Tax Management", "Tax Planning" at the Faculty of Economics of the Yaroslavl State University named after P.G. Demidov. The state registration of the results of intellectual activity is planned to assess the potential of taxation to smooth out inequality and improve welfare in Russia. Within the framework of the project, it is planned to publish a monograph, a series of scientific articles in journals included in the Web of Science, Scopus, RSCI, the list of the Higher Attestation Commission, as well as state registration of the results of intellectual activity to assess and develop the potential of instruments of tax impact on inequality and welfare. It is planned to present and discuss the interim and final results of the project at scientific conferences, including international ones, as well as the publication of relevant results in scientific collections of conferences.


 

REPORTS


Annotation of the results obtained in 2023
1. The trends of modern transformation of inequality and well-being of citizens in Russia are identified: qualitative transformation of consumption inequality, which is not fixed by quantitative statistical indicators; increasing differentiation in non-monetary manifestations of economic inequality (access to education, medicine, communications, etc.); increased income differentiation, especially within the upper decile; inequality in the distribution of wealth. The transformation of inequality requires the development of new approaches to its diagnosis, which is a new challenge for economics and domestic statistics. 2. Based on the results of sociological research, the manifestations, factors and features of the perception of inequality of citizens in Russia are determined. Russians' perception of income sufficiency corresponds to its level. Inequality in the subjective assessment of income sufficiency manifests itself significantly weaker than inequality in actual income: citizens mostly limit their current needs to the income level, adjusting to it. 3. The theoretical and methodological foundations of the potential tax impact on the welfare and inequality of citizens are determined. A set of tax instruments is needed to smooth out the inequality of citizens. Economic inequality of citizens can be classified into inequality in current income, monetary inequality or inequality of accumulated wealth and inequality of consumption in relation to income, property and indirect taxation instruments, respectively. 4. The instruments of state influence on the inequality of citizens are generalized. These include: financial, monetary, labor market regulation, and ensuring economic growth. Financial instruments include tax (distributive) and state social transfers (redistributive). In Russia today, the reduction of inequality is primarily influenced by state social transfers. The potential of tax instruments has not been realized. 5. Based on the approach of S. Kuznets, the modern dependence of income and welfare stratification in Russia is tested. It is established that in its current state it is located on the ascending branch of the modified S. Kuznets curve. 6. The possibilities of taxes in smoothing the inequality of wealth of Russians and strengthening intergenerational mobility are identified as part of an assessment of their interrelationship. Low intergenerational mobility is one of the factors of maintaining significant inequality of citizens in Russia. One of the ways of state regulation of the polarization of personal assets is property taxation. It seems effective to revive the inheritance and gift tax, including with the introduction of a progressive scale of taxation of the property of individuals. 7. The existence of a relationship between the structure of the tax burden and indicators of the well-being of citizens has been confirmed. The share of income tax in the structure of the tax burden has the closest unidirectional relationship with the level of well-being. The share of indirect taxes has a negative relationship with welfare. 8. The impact of the level and structure of the tax burden on the inequality of citizens is estimated. The share of all taxes in GDP has the closest connection with inequality: it explains the dynamics of the level of inequality by 53-74%. The severity of the tax burden has a more significant impact on inequality than its structure. The relationship between the indicators of the tax burden and inequality is nonlinear and fits into the concept of A. Laffer. 9. The effects of the impact on welfare and inequality of personal income tax deductions are estimated. Social tax deductions smooth out the inequality of citizens to a certain extent, but they do not affect their level of well-being. The directions for improving the provision of social tax deductions are the differentiation of categories of recipients, the indexation of limits and the simplification of the procedure for obtaining them. 10. The results of the study are published in 5 articles: 1) Relationship Between the Tax Burden Structure and Citizens’ Welfare in OECD Countries // Journal of Tax Reform (WoS, Scopus) https://taxreform.ru/en/archive/journal/297/single / 2). Economic inequality of citizens beyond averages: assessment in the conditions of its transformation // Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast (WoS) http://esc.volnc.ru/article/29657/full?_lang=en 3). The impact of the level and structure of the tax burden on the inequality of citizens // Financial Journal (RSCI) https://www.finjournal-nifi.ru/ru/archive/34-stati-finansovyj-zhurnal/917-finansovyj-zhurnal-tom-15-3-2023 4). Wealth inequality and intergenerational mobility in Russia: Tax regulation opportunities // Population (RSCI) https://www.jour .fnisc.ru/index.php/population/issue/archive 5). Assessment of the impact of social personal income tax deductions on the welfare and inequality of citizens in Russia // Journal of Applied Economic Research (RSCI) https://journalaer.ru/ru/arkhiv/journal/296/article/2674/ 11. The results of the study are presented in 4 reports of the project manager at scientific events: 1). Tax impact on consumption inequality in the context of ensuring Russia's economic security at the All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference "VII Senchag Readings" (Institute of Economics RAS, 23-24.03.3023) https://inecon.org/nauchnaya-zhizn/konferenczii/2023-02-03-17-12-45.html News on the website P.G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University: https://www.uniyar.ac.ru/news/science/dotsent-kafedry-finansov-i-kredita-ekonomicheskogo-fakulteta-nauchnyy-sotrudnik-upravleniya-nauchnykh/ 2). The impact of the structure of the tax burden on the inequality of citizens at the XV International Symposium "Theory and Practice of Tax Reforms" TPTR 2023 (Irkutsk National Research Technical University, 02-09.07.2023) https://taxsymposium.ru/index.php?option=com_content&view=category&layout=blog&id=191&Itemid=1401&lang=ru News on the website P.G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University: https://www.uniyar.ac.ru/programma-razvitiya/novosti/?ELEMENT_ID=61592 3). Economic inequality of citizens and differentiation of regions by budget security: tax smoothing tools "between Scylla and Charybdis" at the VIII International Forum of the Financial University (session "Modern problems of Theory and practice of Taxes and tax Administration") (Financial University, 22.11.2023) https://forum.fa.ru/#rec649232757 4). Dialectics of economic inequality of Russians: problems of diagnostics beyond the perimeter of official statistics at the III International Scientific and Practical Conference dedicated to the memory of V.A. Petrishchev "Socio-economic trajectory of Russia's development: the Categorical Imperative of Being in Time and Space" (Tver State University, 01.12.2023) http://eco.tversu.ru/Conf/12_pr03.pdf 12. The state registration of the database "Potential of tax instruments for improving welfare and smoothing inequality of citizens" was carried out (Certificate №2023623130 15.09.2023). https://www1.fips.ru/ofpstorage/Doc/PrEVM/RUNWDB/000/002/023/623/130/2023623130-00001/DOCUMENT.PDF

 

Publications

1. Pugachev A.A. Оценка влияния социальных налоговых вычетов по НДФЛ на благосостояние и неравенство граждан в России Journal of Applied Economic Research, №4. Т. 22. С. 789-813. (year - 2023) https://doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2023.22.4.032

2. Pugachev A.A. Relationship Between the Tax Burden Structure and Citizens’ Welfare in OECD Countries Journal of Tax Reform, №9(3). С. 343–358 (year - 2023) https://doi.org/10.15826/jtr.2023.9.3.146

3. Pugachev A.A. Economic inequality of citizens beyond averages: assessment in the conditions of its transformation Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, №3. Т. 16. С. 141-158 (year - 2023) https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2023.3.87.7

4. Pugachev A.A. Влияние уровня и структуры налогового бремени на неравенство граждан Финансовый журнал, Т. 15. № 3. С. 59–77. (year - 2023) https://doi.org/10.31107/2075-1990-2023-3-59-77

5. Pugachev A.A., Chistyakova A.A. Неравенство богатства и межпоколенческая мобильность в России: возможности налогового регулирования Народонаселение, Т. 26. №4. С. 163-177 (year - 2023) https://doi.org/10.19181/population.2023.26.4.14

6. - Потенциал налоговых инструментов повышения благосостояния и сглаживания неравенства граждан -, RU 2023623130 (year - )

7. - Доцент кафедры финансов и кредита экономического факультета, научный сотрудник управления научных исследований и инноваций ЯрГУ Андрей Пугачев выступил с докладом на VII Сенчаговских чтениях Официальный сайт ФГБОУ ВО "Ярославский государственный университет им. П.Г. Демидова", - (year - )

8. - Доцент кафедры финансов и кредита, научный сотрудник Управления научных исследований и инноваций ЯрГУ Андрей Пугачев принимает активное участие в XV Международном налоговом симпозиуме «Теория и практика налоговых реформ» в Иркутске Официальный сайт ФГБОУ ВО "Ярославский государственный университет им. П.Г. Демидова", - (year - )

9. - Доцент кафедры финансов и кредита, научный сотрудник Управления научных исследований и инноваций ЯрГУ Андрей Пугачев принимает активное участие в XV Международном налоговом симпозиуме «Теория и практика налоговых реформ» в Иркутске БеZФормата, - (year - )

10. - Преподаватели ЯрГУ выиграли гранты на проведение научных исследований Коммерсантъ, - (year - )

11. - Преподаватели ЯрГУ им. П. Г. Демидова получили миллионные гранты MK.RU Ярославль, - (year - )

12. - Три проекта ученых ЯрГУ получат гранты Российского научного фонда Ярославский регион, - (year - )